My 2010 Bowman Chrome Top 11

The secondary market collapse on cases of 2010 Topps and Bowman chrome are indeed historic. I can’t ever remember sealed wax falling in value like this so close to release. Overproduction and quality control problems have shop owners and distributors on their heels a bit, looking for some relief from plummeting wax that they must take a loss on to move.

It’s quite a different ball game when it comes to the singles market. EBay auctions for some of the better players have been surprisingly strong. This combination creates a good situation to rip wax and maybe get more than you pay for.

It’s also a great time to buy singles, as lots of the market is flooded with people trying to recoup case money. It does mean that interest is up, and where there is interest there are higher prices. Currently this is offset by an increase in supply, especially for base level autographs. This all leads us to the big question of who to buy. I have compiled a list of who in my opinion the top buys are:

1. Stephen Strasburg
2. Aroldis Chapman
3. Gary Sanchez
4. Miguel Sano
5. Shelby Miller
6. Aednis Hechavarria
7. Kyle Gibson
8. Matt Davidson
9. Arodys Vizcaino
10. Max Kepler
11. Jason Kipnis

I would like to put a bit of emphasis on the hitters in the lower half of this list.   Matt Davidson and Jason Kipnis have both shown the potential for massive power, and have really cheap autographs.  That is the best situation for prospecting that I can think of.   Topps also did singles buyers a favor with Max Kepler.   The back of the card has his birth date listed as 1983.  Uninformed case rippers selling the cards often look to the players age as an indicator to hold the card or sell it.  If a really young player gets an autograph, the assumption is that the guy is a legit prospect.  Often times they are right, but in the case of Kepler, the birth date is a mis print.  Kepler was born in 1993, and is the youngest prospect in the set.  He also has outstanding potential, and is a wonderful buy.

Topps Announces Red Hot Rookie Redemptions 8 and 9

Topps announces the player redeemable for the 2010 Topps Baseball Series 2 RED HOT ROOKIE Redemption # 8 is Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg and # 9 is Atlanta Braves pitcher Mike Minor. (images attached)

Throughout the remainder of the 2010 Major League Baseball season, Topps will announce the subjects for the 10-card RED HOT ROOKIE program. Each Topps Series 2 Hobby Box includes (1) RED HOT ROOKIE Redemption, which can be redeemed online at www.topps.com/redemption.

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Stephen Strasburg, Tommy John and a collective sigh.

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Wahmbulances are being dispatched to all corners of the world today, baseball card collectors are weeping.  Why you ask?  That dreaded dreaded name.  Tommy Freaking John. Tommy John is a “9 letter phrase.” Here, a picture is worth a thousand words and the first six images that appear in a Google Image Search for Tommy John are that of Stephen Strasburg.

Stephen Strasburg is out for the rest of this season and likely out for the entire 2011 season too.  No, he didn’t cut his finger on Bryce Harper’s sharp mohawk, he’s going to have Tommy John surgery.

In spite of the fact that he signed just over one year ago, Stephen has already had a Hall of Fame impact on the hobby.  Here are five ways Stephen’s presence has already been felt in the hobby and there are oh so many more.

1. 2010 Bowman w/Chrome base Bowmans selling for upwards of $15 each,Bowman Chromes selling for upwards of $30 at some points. Parallels and BGS 9.5s selling for incredible multiples.  These are prices unseen by anyone other than Mr. Pujols.

2. 2010 Bowman w/Chrome Cases selling for 3 times cost or more.

3. Case prices driven up by Stephen’s presence – 2010 Bowman w/Chrome, 2010 Topps Chrome, 2010 Allen & Ginter, 2010 Bowman Chrome, 2010 T-206 and many more in anticipation.

4. Exclusivity with Topps

5. Resetting the prospect ceiling even higher

So now thoughtful collectors must ask themselves, what is next?  The most immediate impact will be felt by case busters who break and then immediately sell on eBay to recoup their money.  Many of the cases listed above have lost a little luster.  Certainly, some of the hype will decline around 2010 Bowman Chrome Draft Cases.  This is truly unfortunate, it will be very interesting to see what Stephen’s cards settle at from a price perspective.  He is kind of baseball’s Blake Griffin in the sense that there’s no doubting the talent but the injury makes you wait and worry.

Two and a half months ago I wrote a story about 10 similarities between Stephen and Mark Prior, unfortunately, I think an 11th is in order: frequent trips to the DL and now surgery.

Get well soon Stephen,

Love,

All who love baseball cards