ESPN’s Top 10 from a Cardboard Perspective

The season is under way, and ESPN recently came out with their list of the top 500 players in baseball. Zeroing in on the Top 10, one can debate the merits of the selection and order. Undoubtedly though, the list includes ten of the best players in baseball, and due to their popularity, these players offer many collecting options. Here I’ll discuss a bit about their rookie cards in general and, specifically, their most popular rookie autograph releases:

1. Albert Pujols: Pujols broke into the Majors in 2001 and was the rare player who did not have a rookie card before he reached the “bigs.” This (along with Ichiro’s RC season) made for some pretty exciting times in the hobby, and the card companies capitalized releasing a huge variety of rookie, rookie autograph, and insert cards of the slugger. It was also the first time I recall a company put a redemption into a product without saying what it was for. (Five redemptions cards for RC’s were inserted in Fleer Premium for unnamed rookie cards, one of which was later revealed to be Pujols.) The “Holy Grail” of all Pujols rookie cards (and the “Holy Grail” for many modern collectors) is the 2001 Bowman Chrome Albert Pujols RC Autograph /500. Cost of Chrome RC Auto: recent BGS 9s have sold in the $4000–$5000 range.

2. Roy Halladay: Halladay’s rookie cards stem from 1997, and offerings include Bowman, Bowman Chrome, and Bowman’s Best. His Bowman Chrome RC card is a popular one amongst collectors; though his most highly regarded first-year cards are likely his Bowman Autographs. While they are inserts, they’ve been accepted by collectors much like any other rookie autograph and command serious prices. The card comes in three versions: blue ink, black ink (which sometimes looks red if it is faded), and gold ink. Estimates of the gold ink version are as low as 50–100 copies. They are also extremely condition sensitive with black-back borders, and in decent condition they command a nice premium. Price of a Bowman Auto: $175–$225 while a BGS 9 got $700. (Note that the price on raw copies is way down from where it has been over the last year or two.)

3. Miguel Cabrera: Cabrera is another guy with very few options. His rookie cards are from 2000 and are limited to Topps Traded and Topps Chrome Traded—both boxed sets. Thankfully for rookie autograph collectors, Topps Traded offered an autographed option—a card that has been extremely popular since Cabrera captured the attention of the hobby during the 2003 playoffs as a 20 year old. The Topps Traded autograph is also condition sensitive as the boxed sets led to many dinged corners. The card was also one that was commonly trimmed, so buying graded is recommended. 8.5s often net a premium over raw. Price on 2000 Topps Traded Auto: $400+ for raw; $600+ for BGS 9, though a recent copy went for $844 indicating that his hot start and pairing with Prince Fielder may lead to increased hobby interest.

4. Justin Verlander: Verlander, like Pujols, has a wide array of rookie cards and autographs, and like Pujols his most popular is his Bowman Chrome Autograph. Unlike Pujols though, his card is not limited to 500 copies. By 2005 Bowman Chrome had all sorts of parallels, so collectors who are looking for Chrome can shoot for the parallel that best fits their collection or budget. Because Verlander has so many rookie autographs, there is one that fits most price ranges. Even after his MVP season rookie autographs can be found for $30–$40. Price for a Bowman Chrome RC Auto: $100-$120.

5. Felix Hernandez: King Felix took the Majors by storm as a 19 year old in 2005, but collectors had already been picking his cards up since 2004. He had a variety of cards produced all by Topps and two rookie autographs: Bowman Chrome and Bowman’s Best. His Chrome card has been extremely popular for years. As the final release before Chrome introduced 1/1s and began upping the number of parallels, his best may very well be his gold refractor autograph, a tough card, but one that can be found with some patience (and an open wallet.) Price for a Bowman Chrome Auto: $75–$100.

6. Ryan Braun: The 2011 MVP does not have a huge number of rookie cards to choose from, but he has some very low-end releases as well as a whole bunch of nice rookie autographs. His most popular rookie autograph is his Bowman Chrome Autograph (anyone sensing a trend), but he also has a Bowman Sterling option and a Bowman Heritage Auto. (The red auto parallel /51 is in my opinion one of the underrated cards available. It is basically as rare as a gold refractor and, when found, costs a small fraction of the price.) Price of a Bowman Chrome Auto: $110–$130.

7. Clayton Kershaw: Another one whose Chrome Rookie autograph dominates the discussion, last year’s Cy Young Award winner has never posted an ERA above 3. Kershaw is also the first (and only one) on the list that has actually two Bowman Chrome autographs. While his 2006 version is the most popular, his 2008 version is a nice looking on-card autograph at a pretty reasonable price point. His 2006 BC Auto can be had in the $65–$80 range. (Interestingly his Xfractors have tended to be very cheap relative to other parallels.)

8. Troy Tulowitzki: A rare star over the last few years that does not have a Bowman Chrome RC Autograph, his only rookie autograph stems from the fairly obscure Topps Rookie Cup. (Tulowitzki’s Bowman Chrome cards are still very popular and collectible.) While the Rookie Cup cards are sticker autos, they do have a nice large picture of Troy and a bevy of parallels to satisfy rainbow collectors and those looking for more high-end options. The base version of the Topps Rookie Cup Auto can be had in the $55–$70 range.

9. Tim Lincecum: Owner of tw0 Cy Young Awards and featured on a ton of cards in 2007 (a search for Lincecum (2007, 07) nets over 600 results), his most popular offering (like so many others on the list) is his Bowman Chrome Autograph and parallels. Rare Lincecum Chrome parallels sell for as most as almost anyone who has ever had a Chrome release; though he has many other rookie autographs available—including a great looking Exquisite RC Auto /199. Chrome RC Autos sell for around $150, while the Exquisite card can be had for a little less than that.

10. Robinson Cano: While Cano had a wide variety of rookie cards produced in 2003, the rarer stuff sells really well. A Bowman Chrome Refractor BGS 10 recently sold for over $500! Raw copies of his refractor and Xfractor can run you $150 or so, so it’s not just the BGS graded ones. A relatively young star playing under the biggest spotlight in baseball can do that to a player. Cano also has just a single rookie year autograph: an insert in Bowman Heritage. It’s a condition sensitive card, and the print does not appear to be all that high as there are rarely more than a few copies on eBay at a time.

FCB Weekly Hot List – December 16th 2011 Edition

The more things change, the more they stay the same.  Unless you’ve been spending your time under rocks, you’ve probably heard someone say this and you’ve probably heard it uttered recently.  It’s an oft said phrase that is true more often that you might like to believe.  I do believe it applies to the sports world this week too.

In spite of all of us desiring to believe that we were rid of steroids in baseball, the most recent NL MVP tests positive.  When Bobby Huggins left the U of Cincinnati basketball so did all the thuggery?  Right?  Tonight in spite of his team getting totally slaughtered with a very afraid looking rookie QB at the helm, MJD once again peels off over 100 yards and for the third year in a row has over 1200.  Whose good in the NFL this year?  Brees, Brady, Rodgers and the Packers, Saints and the Patriots.  Last week, in spite of a totally different set of circumstances Tebow engineers another comeback victory.  Heck, I feel like I’m repeating myself just writing this, even though it is the first time I’ve written any of these words in this order.

So can you tell where I’m going?  I’m feeling repetitive, so is the sports world and thus so are many of the subjects on the Hot List, people keep showing up, kind of like this list, week after week after week.

1. Rob Gronkowski 2010 UD Autos

Gronkowski

Comments: I’m unaware of Rob’s cultural heritage but none the less, his last name brings fond memories.  I grew up in Illinois and if you weren’t aware, outside of Warsaw, the largest number of people in any given city of Polish heritage is….that’s right, you guessed it, Chicago.  Growing up in Illinois adding the phrase “ski” to almost anything was sure to get you a laugh or a smile, like “I’m going to grab a brewski.”  Even a fonder memory was that we got Casmir Pulaski day off school.  If you are wondering who Casmir (nearly everyone pronounced it Cashmere) was, no, he didn’t invent the sweater.  He was a Polish general in the Revolutionary War which was an irrelevant fact to most children who only cared that they got his birthday off of school.  So for the moment, lets assume that Gronkowski is indeed Polish or at least of some Eastern European decent and that now, a new state has a whole new appreciation for words ending in ski (Massachusetts that is).  Gronkowski has somehow outpaced Wes Welker in become Tom Brady’s new favorite red zone target and this past week set the record for TDs in a season by a tight-end, 15.  Gronkowski’s UD Autos both SP Authentic and Exquisite are on fire and in fact some SP Authentics sold for well over $100 this week in spite of selling for only $40 last week.

2. T.J. Yates 2011 Leaf Certified Autos /100

Yates

Comments: Speaking of repetitiveness, how many times have I stated on this list that guys who get the bump from backup to starter receive lots of love as NFL QBs.  Yates received a battlefield promotion after both Matts went down in front of him and he’s performed amazingly well.  His cards continue to get love as Leaf Certified Autos rose from in the tens to over $30 this week.

3. Todd Marinovich Rookie Cards

Marinovich

Comments: Do you remember when Chris Herren was on this list?  You might, as it was fairly recently but you might have forgotten already.  Props to the member who commented on the fact that the 30 for 30 series on ESPN was bringing former players into the limelight that hadn’t seen that kind of brightness in quite some time.    Like Herren, Marinovich is a guy who everyone expected the world of from a young age, only to see that crumble at the hands of drug abuse among many other things.  Marinovich early 90s Upper Deck rookie cards are now selling for $5 or more (ask yourself what other early 90s UD cards, or any cards that applies to for that matter, yeah, that’s Hot List material).  The question to ponder might be “why do stories about near miss stars with drugs and other issues cause these kinds of reactions?”  I know I don’t often pose deep questions on the Hot List but two answers that come to mind are A. no one turns away from a train wreck and B. some level of humanity and mess ups among people who were supposed to have it all humanizes sports somewhat for us.  So whose next?  Read up on Sean Burroughs….

4. Yu Darvish 2009 Bowman Chrome & Sterling Parallels

Yu

Comments: I Yused up my Pink Floyd jokes but the way teams are pursuing Yu, Yu would believe that they thought no other pitchers had anything on Yu (horrible B.o.B. reference there for….that’s right, Yu.)  Seriously though, what Japanese league signing outside of Ichiro has gone really well in your opinion?  Maybe I’m just missing all of them and maybe my opinion is based on the fact that I had to watch Fukudome play RF for the Cubs for several years but seriously, what’s the success rate on these guys?  None of my bitterness or anger is stopping people from bidding wildly on the Whirling Darvish’s cards though as Gold Refractors that lack a signature now sell for over $300.

5. Mason Williams 2011 Bowman Chrome Autos

Williams
Comments: What’s that?  There were other autos that came out in 2011 Bowman products outside of Bryce Harper?  Wow, that’s kind of amazing!  Sometimes for random reasons a player can get real hot even when they aren’t playing?  However, I think Williams names were mentioned in trade rumors, therefore causing scouts and other bloggers to write about him, words like 5 tool were used and as you know, that’s pretty much all it takes.  Mason’s chrome autos moved from $10 to $18 this week.

6. Aaron Rodgers 2005 Rookie Autos

Rodgers

Comments: Repetitive I know, deal with it.  Rodgers is having an unbelievable season on a team that’s also having an unbelievable season and that’s an unbelievable combo that leads to unbelievable prices (see how I repeated..yeah).  The card above sold for over $1400, that’s right $1400!  That’s insanity and honestly it represents a place and a price where very few have gone before, namely only Brady and perhaps Peyton.  I often watch the efficiency of Rodgers within the Packers offense in awe…and you can do the same for the card prices.

7. Brett Lawrie 2011 Bowman Chrome Autos

Lawrie

Comments: This card being on the Hot List is somewhat interesting.  Upon hearing news that Lawrie was in the upcoming 2011 Bowman Chrome release there was general joy from collectors.  However, upon finding out that he was a mega-sp, many case rippers were disturbed, they’d been baited in by whispers of Hosmer and Lawrie only to find out that it would take many cases to just find one.  Now that, that has passed we are back to the fact that Lawrie is a mega-SP and that means mega bucks.  The most recent Lawrie auto to end went for $150, a new high and up from a recent sale of $115.
8. Tim Tebow 2010 Auto Rookies

Tebow

Comments: I really don’t have any reason to like Tebow.  He’s a Bronco, I’m a Chargers fan, I have no affiliation with Florida or the SEC but as a football fan, it is hard not to marvel at what he seems to do consistently week in and week out.  But that’s just it, watch the games, he doesn’t do lots of things – complete passes in the first half, rush for 150 yards a game, make Michael Vick like highlights and a whole bunch of other things.  All he does is win and when it counts he does the right things.  He’s a bit of a lightning rod at the moment from the cultural  perspective what Tim has done on the football field is undeniable and it seems appropriate that Tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiimmmmay is playing in the city where Southpark was invented.  Autos continue to climb right along with the Broncos

The Not So Hot List

#1 – The Cadre of Posters Suggesting Ryan Braun

Calls for the not so hot list increased this week when news of Ryan Braun’s positive test came out.  “Show us how much Braun has gone down” they yelled as they tried to clumsily light their torches – ok, so I’m being a bit harsh but you get the idea.  Here’s the thing, key cards like 2005 Bowman Chrome Draft Autos…..wait for it………haven’t gone down.

#2 – David Stern

So I guess David Stern finally got the deal he wanted, listen David, sports fans do not like meddling, period.  Nor do I like the fact that one of my favorite young players – Eric Gordon is now on the Hornets.

#3 – Matt Leinart

For a guy that has had a reputation as a bit of a softie and whiner during his time in the league, getting another opportunity like he had with the Texans had to be a dream come true.  What happened with his opportunity, playing less than a half must have been a nightmare.  A blue chrome refractor auto recently sold for $19.99, a touch less than what they sold for when he was named starter…./sarcasm.

 

The N.L. All-Star Starters and Their Rookie Cards

C: Brian McCann (Braves)

2003 Bowman Chrome Draft Autographed RC Brian McCann

The Rookie Card: 2003 Bowman Chrome Draft Autographs are the one to have falling in the $35-60 range the last couple months.

The Player: Having a very solid season batting .310+ and on pace to set a career high in HR’s. Not a lot of competition in the NL for this spot outside of Yadier Molina since Buster Posey went down.

1B: Prince Fielder (Brewers)

fielder

The Rookie Card: My personal favorite is his 2002 Prospect Premieres XRC Auto.  It was a very good looking set and had a lot of quality players in it. He also has 2005 Leaf Limited,Ultimate Collection, SP Authentic, Bowman Sterling and SPX Autographed RC’s that draw a lot of attention.

The Player: The 27 year old is on pace to hit over .300 for the first time in his career. He and the other Brewer’s All-Stars lead an early season surge to first place in the NL Central but have stumbled on the road especially leading to a very tight Central race at the break. Continue reading