A few random thoughts on the passing scene

NBA Free Agency

#1 – I wrote a post a few months ago on Jason Heyward’s impact on the prospecting market. Take everything I said there, multiply it by 10 and you have Stephen Strasburg.

#2 – I was going to write a long post on NBA free agency and the disgusting narcissism of it all. Adrian Wojnarowski wrote a great one though, it is a good read. If this free agent season doesn’t disgust people with the NBA, I don’t know what will. Low collector enthusiasm + bland products + most of the best products being busted abroad = not so good for basketball cards.

#3 – Speaking of good columns, if you like sports editorials and aren’t reading Real Clear Sports daily, you are missing out.

#4 – Speaking of missing out, if you aren’t reading the baseball chat forum, daily, you will miss something. In just the past few weeks, the Bryce Harper Superfractor was pulled, Stephen Strasburg Minis were pulled, there was of course more Razor drama and oh so much more, set your bookmarks accordingly.

#5 – Two of the biggest events in world sports but the most irrelevant events from a sports card perspective happened this summer – Wimbledon and the World Cup.

That’s all for now, what’s the most important thing to happen from a card perspective this summer, in your opinion of course?

2010 Bowman & The Gulf Oil Spill

 Oil Spill

Is it just me or does it seem like 2010, even though only halfway gone, has already been a year of big stories both in the sports and non-sports realms?  In sports you have: the rise of Jason Heyward, the fall of the Fighting Lebrons , Braden’s perfect game, Halladay’s perfect game, Canada’s  win over the U.S. in the Olympic Gold Medal hockey game, maybe the most anticipated debut ever – Stephen Strasburg, Bryce Hyper, sorry, Harper and the 2010 draft and the list goes on and on.  The majority of these have had significant impacts on the collecting world as well.

However, they’ve just been distractions when compared to: the battle over health care reform, the battle over the Arizona immigration law, the figurative sinking of the Greek economy, the literal sinking of the Deepwater Horizon BP Oil Rig, continued high unemployment and so on.

It is fair to say that the news media both sports and otherwise, has had plenty of fodder to report on this year.  If you are still reading about the fire department rescuing kittens out of a tree it might be time to find another periodical…there is plenty to report on.

It has been no different in the baseball card prospecting world; there has been a lot of excitement thus far this year, the pinnacle of which has been 2010 Bowman.  As I was thinking about 2010 Bowman I saw some interesting parallels between it and the oil spill in the gulf.  Let me offer up five.  Disclaimer:  I am in no way intending to mock, lessen or diminish the impact and general awfulness that is the Gulf Oil Spill, I’m just offering up some thoughts.

  1. There was much discussion about each before the actual event occurred.  The upsides and downsides of offshore drilling have been discussed and debated (in some cases hotly) for years.  This is really quite similar to what happens on message boards, like FCB each year, as collectors discuss the merits of breaking large quantities of Chrome wax to try and make a profit.  There’s no debate that there are some significant risks involved but there is also very little debate about the rewards that may lie deep within the cases, or deep under the sea, in the case of oil.
  2. As new discoveries come to light, interest and prices increase.  There has been an increasing interest in offshore drilling, particularly in deep water as more and more oil has been found there.  This causes increased prices for land leases, as companies like BP bid for the rights to extract it.  Similarly, the more we found out about 2010 Bowman, the larger we realized the value “pool” was.  We learned there were Strasburg Chromes, Heyward Chrome Autos, Castro Chrome Autos and the list went on.  The more we found out, the more the rights went up for the opportunity to extract these cards.
  3. The results were stunning.  Very few would have believed that Strasburg Base Cards, Harper Chromes and cases of 2010 Bowman would sell for anywhere close to what they are selling for.  When jumbo cases hit $1,100 per, most were surprised they’d got that high.  In the same way, no one thought the explosion on this rig would eventually turn into the worst oil spill in history (by leaps and bounds).  Each time we thought things were at a containment point in the gulf (containment dome, top kill etc.) things continued to get worse and the amount of barrels spilled continued to rise, there is no end in sight.  So it is with the price of 2010 Bowman cases.
  4. The events have been big enough that they may have a profound long-term impact on the industry.   Collectors won’t soon forget the prices Heyward, Strasburg and Harper were selling for from 2010 Bowman.  In fact, they’ll be in the back of prospector’s minds as they purchase lesser guys, thinking “if they can only get to what Strasburg sold for, I’ll make a fortune.”  Similarly, the oil industry may never be the same after this spill, as it will linger in the waters of the Gulf for years and in our heads for many years beyond that.
  5. Things are beginning to dry up.  A parallel I only wish I could make.  As less 2010 Bowman is busted, Strasburg makes his debut and Harper gets drafted, things may begin to calm down a little for 2010 Bowman.  We can only hope that the actions taken over the next days, weeks and months have the same result on the Gulf Oil Spill, it is truly my prayer that this happens.

Frankly, you could write a paper on each one of these parallels and there are many more beyond what I’ve listed.  It is amazing though how one grand event in the card world, shares so many common themes with one catastrophic event in the energy industry.

2010 Bowman w/Chrome Box Break Review

Strasburg

2010 Bowman with Chrome, perhaps you have heard of it? No? Starlin Castro, Jason Heyward, Bryce Harper, Stephen Strasburg, Dustin Ackley or Donavan Tate, perhaps you have heard of them? No? Ok, so at this point in time the only question remaining is what kind of rock you have planted yourself under, not if you are under a rock mind you but what kind? Granite? Sandstone? Marble? Maybe just a good old fashion pile of gravel?

2010 Bowman with Chrome was the most hyped prospect product release in recent memory. Some of this is because of seasons, we are in the prospect product, “drought season.” The rainy season is December, if you are wondering. Thus, any prospect product gets more attention, however, most of it was because this was a darn good product.

When we first heard about this product, it had Ackley Chrome Autos, Tate Chrome Autos and some form of Strasburg. Over the next few months Topps did a very nice job building the hype by letting us know we would have USA Chromes, Strasburg Paper Autos, Strasburg Base Chromes & Parallels, Starlin Castro Chrome Autos, Jason Heyward Chrome Autos, 3 Chrome Autos per Jumbo Box and oh so much more. This product was loaded and that feeling was confirmed hobby-wide as Jumbo Case prices vaulted towards $1k+.

The combination of value per pack and big pull possibility is what makes this product great. Not only do you have a chance at something huge like a Strasburg Auto or a Harper Parallel but cards like Strasburg Base Chromes and Harper Base Chromes sell for near $20 each.  Heck, Strasburg base Bowmans sell for $5 or more. So not only do you get a reasonable chance to hit something that will sell for hundreds of dollars, you also have a very good chance of not getting totally skunked if you buy one box, that’s an enticing combo and that is what has this product being busted en masse across the country and around the globe.

Now, all that being said, our box wasn’t very exciting – Arenado Base Auto, Strasburg Chrome and Harper Chrome were the highlights.  That brings me right back to my point about value.  In a box that by some would be considered sub-par, the three big cards will sell for $45-$50 let alone the rest of what we pulled.

Quite honestly, Topps really outdid themselves with this product, however, in doing so, they raised expectations for the rest of their prospect releases this year.  The worst thing they could do with 2010 Bowman Chrome would be to put out a real stinker and lose all the momentum that they have now built up.  Unfortunately, we will have to wait and see what they do with their next products but at least in the mean time we can entertain ourselves pulling Strasburgs.

Want to try out a box of your own?  The good people at Topps have sent us not one, but TWO boxes to give away.  Add a comment for a shot at winning.  Make sure your email address or FCB ID is included.