One of FCB’s finer qualities, in my opinion is it’s ability to keep you in touch with what’s happening in the hobby. The baseball board is by far the most active but generally that will contain commentary about particularly hot players in other sports as well. This week was great evidence of that – via reading the boards you found out about Contenders SPs in both baseball and football, a high school pitcher who threw 100 mph, the general trend upwards in almost all prospects and so on and so on. And speaking of the general trend upwards in prospects and frankly, many other cards, this is a very interesting time of year.
I routinely talk to a couple of FCB members on the phone and in the past couple weeks, we’ve had very similar conversations – EVERYTHING is expensive right now. Prospect autos have been on the rise for the past two months, rookie autos of guys like A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Andy Dalton, Cam Newton and many others are still selling for crazy money in spite of the fact that the season is over. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins isn’t cheap on the hockey front and Pikachu rookies are electric in price, forgive me for that last joke. If you’ve been diligent buying your prospect, your player or just what you like over the winter you are reaping the rewards right now, whether that’s selling for better prices or knowing that you didn’t pay the going rate now – if not, sorry, they are here to stay for a few months.
One of the interesting side effects of this is that although lots of things are getting lots of bids, watchers and selling at all time high prices – the number of things changing dramatically week to week is not as large. That of course is what this list thrives on and so it is only a thanks to the members on here that make suggestions that we continue to fill the Hot List with good candidates and on that note.
1. Lucas Giolito 2011 Topps Perfect Game
Comments: This is what I’m talking about being up to date via reading the boards. I wouldn’t have known about this guy hitting 100 mph in his first outing had I not read a post on it. The funny thing is, when suggesting him for the Hot List the word “AFLAC” was tossed out and oh that is so 2006 – 2010 it’s Perfect Game now, no more quack attack. Irregardless, you hit 100 mph in an outing and noticed, you will be. His Perfect Game cards went from $25 to some sales at $80 recently and that is the kind of pop that will land you a #1 spot on the Hot List and perhaps the same in the draft?
2. Jeremy Evans 2010-11 Contenders Autos
Comments: Autos of little known basketball players have been featured in a prominent roll on this list over the last month thanks to one Jeremy Lin. Speaking of Jeremys, we have another one on this list thanks to the NBA All-Star Dunk Contest and in the name of “don’t say anything if you can’t say something nice”, that’s the last comment I’ll make about the dunk contest. In spite of the fact that there was no Blake Griffin, or Superman there was still a chance to shine on a national stage for guys that otherwise go un-noticed. Jeremy did just that in winning the contest and his (extraordinarily ugly) Contenders Autos went from $4 to $20 in a week managing to overcome a fake patch and trapped signature design that causes little children to cry upon casting their gaze upon it.
3. Tyron Smith 2011 Contenders Auto SSP /23
Comments: So the SPs and the SSPs are announced and they go crazy. So crazy in fact that a base auto SSP /23 recently sold for $700+ and that’s more than a Plate Auto 1/1 sold for just this week in spite of there being 5x as many SSPs out there. The Contenders SP program is also evidence that creating a brand that people look forward to year in and year out not only means your wax will sell as a producer but it also means collectors busting wax will be able to realize more secondary market value – meaning they’ll bust more wax.
4. Kyrie Irving 2011 Panini National Convention Promos
Comments: Two things stood out to me from the NBA rookie challenge – #1 is that I thought John Wall’s around the back dunk was better than anything I saw in the dunk contest and #2 – Kyrie Irving’s 8-8 from 3 pt land shooting display was just simply absurd. I was not a complete believer after the guy played 11 games at Duke but I really am now – he’s playing really good for a team who has very little around him. I say all this and it frustrates collectors though as they are still limited to the Panini National Convention Promo Cards for Kyrie – those cards, plain as they are moved from $35 up to $6o this week.
5. Nikola Pekovic 2010-11 National Treasures Autos
Comments: Wasn’t I just talking about autos of previously unknown guys? Well, here we have another – this isn’t Nikola Tesla, the scientist, this is the center for the T-Wolves who burst upon the scene a week or so ago. And that brings me to my next point – it is rare where I throw someone on the Hot List because they were a major oversight but Nikola is indeed that. His cards have been selling at $220ish for the last two weeks but prior to that, they were about $65 and he didn’t make the list, so here he is.
6. Taijuan Walker 2010 Bowman Sterlings
Comments: It is with mixed emotion I put Taijuan on this Hot List. Taijuan has been compared to the good part of Doc Gooden (pitching) and is on the top of nearly ever prospect list this offseason. The reason there is a little bitterness is that Taijuan was a guy I prospected, doubled my money on and now get to watch the same Gold Refractor Autos which I had 5 of sell for about $150…anyway, Taijuan continues to set new highs and Sterling autos broke $20 this week up another 33% or so from last week.
7. Anthony Rendon 2011 Elite Autos
Comments: If you were to harken back to say 1.5 years ago – the top draft prospect was Anthony Rendon bar none. Bauer pfffft, Cole pfffft, Starling – isn’t that a bird or something? Rendon was the guy but then suffered an injury that kind of took the wind out of the sails – not just his draft status but cards as well. However, Anthony Rendon sneezed and someone saw his muscles flex and wow, they were impressed and as a result Elite Autos are up in the $50s as opposed to the $40ish they were selling at previously. You get it right, I’m kidding but sometimes the spring training hype isn’t too different than that…
8. Bryce Harper 2011 Bowman Chrome Draft Autos
Comments: Emm guess what, he’ll sign these and boom, up 20% we go. Soon the note card and elmer’s glue creation above will turn into a real live Bryce Harper Auto and that will sell for near $300.
9. Brett Lawrie 2010 Bowman Chrome Auto
Comments: Speaking of Chrome Autos that sell for $300…Mr. Lawrie’s are now selling for even more than that. There was a good deal of drama that surrounded these autos, whether they would ever be signed or not but now, they are live and selling for absolutely crazy dollars.
10. Eric Hosmer USA Autos
Comments: Eric had a fantastic rookie season and people are expecting just that much more from him this year. One of the interesting things that happens is when a guy gets scorching hot, the first things to go up are the mainstream cards like Chrome Autos and Sterling Autos and then the secondary stuff starts to move as people look for more affordable options – this is exactly what’s happening as Eric’s USA autos, even the trapped beauties /249 started selling for $50+ this week.